Monday 10th August: European Open Briefing

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Global Markets:

  • Asian stock markets: Nikkei up 0.40 %, Shanghai Composite gained 3.20 %, Hang Seng fell 0.30 %, ASX rose 0.60 %
  • Commodities: Gold at $1094 (+0.05 %), Silver at $14.85 (+0.15 %), WTI Oil at $43.62 (-0.55 %), Brent Oil at $48.98 (-0.55 %)
  • Rates: US 10 year yield at 2.189, UK 10 year yield at 1.84, German 10 year yield at 0.66

News & Data:

  • China CPI 0.3 % m/m (exp 0.3 % prev 0.0 %)
  • China CPI 1.6 % y/y (exp 1.5 % prev 1.4 %)
  • China PPI -5.4 % y/y (exp -5.0 % prev -4.8 %)
  • Japan Housing Loans (YoY) Q2: 2.4% (prev 2.5%)
  • Japan Trade Balance (Jun): JPY102.6 Bln (exp JPY119.7 Bln prev JPY-47.3 Bln)
  • German Trade Surplus To Rise To New Record In 2015 — Der Spiegel
  • Greek Government Says Discussing Draft Of Third Bailout Deal — RTRS
  • Bond Traders Brace For More Turbulence In Short-Term Treasuries — BBG
  • Reuters Poll: Wall Street Now Thinks Fed Hike In September Will Be 2015's Only Move

CFTC Positioning Data:

  • EUR short 113K vs 104k short prior week
  • GBP short 7K vs. 10K short prior week
  • JPY short 80K vs. 63K short prior week
  • CAD short 64K vs. 56K short prior week
  • CHF short 1.5K vs 0K long prior week
  • AUD short 50K vs. 51K short prior week
  • NZD short 12K vs. 11K short prior week

Upcoming Events:

  • 09:00 BST – Norwegian CPI
  • 09:30 BST – Euro Zone Sentix Investor Confidence
  • 12:15 BST – FOMC Member Fischer speaks
  • 14:00 BST – FOMC Member Lockhart speaks
  • 15:00 BST – US CB Employment Index

The Week Ahead (Key Data & Events):

Tuesday, August 11th

  • 02:30 BST – Australian NAB Business Confidence
  • 09:00 BST – Italian CPI
  • 10:00 BST – German ZEW Economic Sentiment
  • 13:15 BST – Canadian Housing Starts

 

Wednesday, August 12th

  • 00:50 BST – Bank of Japan Meeting Minutes
  • 01:30 BST – Australian Westpac Consumer Sentiment
  • 05:30 BST – Japanese Industrial Production
  • 06:30 BST – Chinese Industrial Production
  • 06:30 BST – Chinese Retail Sales
  • 09:00 BST – Italian Trade Balance
  • 09:30 BST – UK Claimant Count Change
  • 09:30 BST – UK Unemployment Rate
  • 10:00 BST – Euro Zone Industrial Production
  • 15:00 BST – US JOLTs Job Openings

Thursday, August 13th

  • 03:15 BST – RBA Assistant Governor Kent speaks
  • 07:00 BST – German CPI
  • 07:45 BST – French CPI
  • 08:00 BST – Spanish CPI
  • 08:15 BST – Swiss CPI
  • 08:30 BST – Swedish CPI
  • 11:30 BST – FOMC Member Dudley speaks
  • 12:30 BST – ECB Meeting Minutes
  • 13:30 BST – US Retail Sales
  • 13:30 BST – US Initial Jobless Claims
  • 23:45 BST – New Zealand Retail Sales

Friday, August 14th

  • 06:30 BST – French GDP
  • 07:00 BST – German GDP
  • 09:00 BST – Italian GDP
  • 10:00 BST – Euro Zone CPI
  • 13:30 BST – US PPI
  • 14:15 BST – US Industrial Production
  • 14:15 BST – US Manufacturing Production
  • 15:00 BST – US Michigan Consumer Sentiment

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